Vasco da Gama
Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
May 2, 2023 at 12am UK
Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Bahia

Vasco
0 - 1
Bahia

FT(HT: 0-1)
Thaciano (44')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 2-2 Palmeiras
Sunday, April 23 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Botafogo
Tuesday, April 25 at 12am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 49.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawBahia
49.49% (0.229 0.23)25.8% (-0.035 -0.04)24.7% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 49.17% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.94% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)54.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.51% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)75.48% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (0.087000000000003 0.09)21.87% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.89% (0.136 0.14)55.11% (-0.143 -0.14)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.93% (-0.191 -0.19)37.06% (0.184 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.15% (-0.19 -0.19)73.85% (0.18299999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 49.49%
    Bahia 24.7%
    Draw 25.79%
Vasco da GamaDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.79% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 49.49%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.1% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 8.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.07% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 24.7%

How you voted: Vasco vs Bahia

Vasco da Gama
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Bahia
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2021 7pm
gameweek 33
Vasco
0-0
Bahia

Benitez (16')
Castan (80')

Danielzinho (17'), Gilberto (45'), Rossi (90+9')
Oct 7, 2020 11.15pm
gameweek 14
Bahia
3-0
Vasco
Rossi (10'), Gilberto (32'), Clayson (45+1')
Gregore (45+2'), Rossi (56'), Ramon (76')

Henrique (20'), Gomes (44'), Pec (77')
Gomes (67')
Dec 5, 2019 10.15pm
gameweek 37
Bahia
1-1
Vasco
Gilberto (45' pen.)
Flavio (71'), Arthur (80'), Friedrich (91')
Arthur (82')
Marrony (85')
Richard (42'), Bastos (89')
Graca (43')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
gameweek 18
Vasco
0-2
Bahia

Henrique (47'), Junior (69'), Pikachu (73')
Paraiba (56'), Gilberto (61')
Elber (45')
Sep 25, 2018 12am
gameweek 26
Vasco
2-1
Bahia
Pikachu (32' pen.), Marrony (78')
Maranhao (38'), Pikachu (56'), Augusto (79'), Marrony (79'), Lopez (87')
Gilberto (45')
Everson (14'), Pele (69')
Friedrich (29')