Bragantino
Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Apr 15, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid
Bahia

Bragantino
2 - 1
Bahia

Goncalves (54'), Sasha (70')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Stum (45')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Tacuary 1-4 Bragantino
Friday, April 7 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Bahia

All competitions
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Bahia
Wednesday, July 13 at 12.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 52.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawBahia
52.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.8% (0.00099999999999767 0)22.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 50% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)51.91% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.33% (0.0040000000000013 0)73.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)19.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.19% (0.0010000000000048 0)51.81%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.32% (0.0049999999999955 0)37.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54% (0.0040000000000013 0)74.46% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 52.45%
    Bahia 22.74%
    Draw 24.8%
BragantinoDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.07%
2-0 @ 9.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 5.29% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.16%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 2.09%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 52.45%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 7.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.27%
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 22.74%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2021 1am
Bahia
1-1
Bragantino
Rodallega (62')
Rodallega (40')
Ytalo (70')
Silva (17'), Jadsom (26'), Schwengber (85'), Novaes (89')
Jun 6, 2021 1am
Bragantino
3-3
Bahia
Artur (22'), Candido (50'), Cuello (68')
Pedrinho (34'), Jadsom (43')
Gilberto (16', 19'), Jonas (87')
Galdezani (34'), Jonas (54'), Araujo (90+1')
Nov 20, 2020 11pm
Bragantino
4-0
Bahia
Claudinho (4', 11'), Ytalo (21'), Helinho (53')
Helinho (60'), Artur (84')

Rodrigoinho (16'), Gilberto (63'), Martins (70')
Aug 16, 2020 8pm
Bahia
2-1
Bragantino
Juninho (26'), Ernando (90+3')
Ronaldo (56')
Ortiz (77')
Ryller (49')