Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 7, 2023 at 1am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Bragantino

Tacuary
1 - 4
Bragantino

Edson Barros da Silva (22'), Carius (22')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Capixaba (39'), Alerrandro (49'), Ribeiro Neves (62', 77'), Talisson (62'), Neves (77')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Tacuary and Bragantino.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tacuary

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Last Game: Tacuary 2-2 General Caballero JLM (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, March 7 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Bragantino

All competitions
Last Game: Bragantino 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Tacuary had a probability of 13.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.1%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Tacuary win it was 1-0 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
TacuaryDrawBragantino
13.5% (0.026999999999999 0.03)21.26% (-0.035 -0.04)65.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.73% (0.16 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (0.181 0.18)51.36% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (0.158 0.16)73.18% (-0.15900000000001 -0.16)
Tacuary Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.46% (0.15 0.15)48.54% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.38% (0.109 0.11)83.62% (-0.11099999999999 -0.11)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.99% (0.060000000000002 0.06)15.01% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.52% (0.116 0.12)43.48% (-0.117 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Tacuary 13.5%
    Bragantino 65.22%
    Draw 21.26%
TacuaryDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 5.27% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-1 @ 3.61% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 13.5%
1-1 @ 9.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 21.26%
0-1 @ 13.81% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 13.1% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.47% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 8.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.93% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.84% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.49% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.08% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 65.22%