Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	River Plate
39.38% ( -0.52)	24.94% ( 0.15)	35.68% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 57.87% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53% (

-0.66)

45.47% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.2% (

-0.63)

67.8% (

0.63)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.06% (

-0.55)

22.94% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.29% (

-0.81)

56.71% (

0.82)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09% (

-0.1)

24.9% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.47% (

-0.14)

59.52% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Fluminense 39.38%

River Plate 35.68%

Draw 24.94%

Fluminense	Draw	River Plate
2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 39.38%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94%	1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.68%