Copa Libertadores
May 3, 2023 1.00am
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • German Cano 29' goal
  • German Cano 53' goal
  • Jhon Arias 75' goal
  • German Cano 86' goal
  • Jhon Arias 90'+1' goal
  • goal Lucas Beltran 39'

Fluminense vs River Plate - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 18, 2023 11.00pm
Fluminense 1 - 0 The Strongest

River Plate

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Apr 20, 2023 1.00am
River Plate 4 - 2 Cristal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result

Fluminense 39.38% (-0.52)
Draw 24.94% (+0.16)
River Plate 35.68% (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.87% (-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.53% (-0.66)
Under 2.5 45.47% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 32.2% (-0.64)
Under 3.5 67.8% (+0.64)
Over 4.5 16.21% (-0.46)
Under 4.5 83.78% (+0.46)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 77.06% (-0.55)
Under 0.5 22.94% (+0.55)
Over 1.5 43.29% (-0.82)
Under 1.5 56.71% (+0.82)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 75.09% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 24.9% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 40.47% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 59.52% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Fluminense 39.38%
Draw 24.94%
River Plate 35.68%
Fluminense
2-1 @ 8.61% (-0.07)
1-0 @ 8.41% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.19% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.56% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 39.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.71% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.94%
River Plate
1-2 @ 8.13% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 7.94% (+0.20)
0-2 @ 5.52% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 3.77% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.56% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 35.68%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
May 25, 2021 11.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
  • Nicolas De La Cruz 32' yellowcard
  • Hector Martinez 49' yellowcard
  • Matias Suarez 65' yellowcard
  • Jonatan Maidana 67' redcard
  • Federico Girotti 85' goal
  • goal Caio Paulista 22'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 27'
  • goal Nene 29'
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 61'
  • yellowcard Caio Paulista 68'
  • goal Yago 90'+2'
Copa Libertadores
Apr 22, 2021 11.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã) (Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro)
  • Gonzalo Montiel 13' goal
  • Yago 65' yellowcard
  • Fred 66' goal
  • Fred 81' yellowcard
  • Martinelli 88' yellowcard