Apr 24, 2023 12.30am

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

Ezequiel Barco 17'
Miguel Borja 80'

River Plate vs Independiente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

W
W
W
W
L
W

Argentine Primera Division

W
W
W
W
W
W

Last game

Apr 16, 2023 11.00pm

Newell's OB 0 - 1 River Plate

Goals scored

74

Top scorer

Pablo Solari

Independiente

All competitions

D
L
L
D
D
D

Argentine Primera Division

D
L
L
D
D
D

Last game

Apr 16, 2023 8.30pm

Independiente 1 - 1 Racing

Goals scored

36

Top scorer

Matias Gimenez Rojas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 70.03%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.6%) and 3-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.02%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result

River Plate 70.03% ▲ (+0.31)

Draw 19.53% ▼ (-0.25)

Independiente 10.44% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score:

39.8% ▲ (+0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.53% ▲ (+0.81)

Under 2.5 51.47% ▼ (-0.81)

Over 3.5 26.72% ▲ (+0.70)

Under 3.5 73.27% ▼ (-0.70)

Over 4.5 12.47% ▲ (+0.46)

Under 4.5 87.53% ▼ (-0.46)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5 86.44% ▲ (+0.35)

Under 0.5 13.56% ▼ (-0.35)

Over 1.5 59.35% ▲ (+0.68)

Under 1.5 40.65% ▼ (-0.68)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5 46.04% ▲ (+0.39)

Under 0.5 53.96% ▼ (-0.39)

Over 1.5 12.75% ▲ (+0.24)

Under 1.5 87.25% ▼ (-0.24)

Score analysis

River Plate 70.02%

Draw 19.53%

Independiente 10.44%

River Plate

1-0 @ 14.61% ▼ (-0.30)

2-0 @ 14.6% ▼ (-0.10)

3-0 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.06)

2-1 @ 9.01% ▲ (+0.05)

3-1 @ 6% ▲ (+0.11)

4-0 @ 4.86% ▲ (+0.09)

4-1 @ 3% ▲ (+0.09)

5-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.06)

3-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.06)

5-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 3.22%

Total : 70.02%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.02% ▼ (-0.08)

0-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.24)

2-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.05)

Other @ 0.41%

Total : 19.53%

Independiente

0-1 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.10)

1-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.02)

0-2 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)

Other @ 1.75%

Total : 10.44%

Head to Head

Aug 7, 2022 9.30pm

0

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Juan Cazares 90'+2'

Pablo Solari 30'
Franco Armani 63'
Matias Suarez 90'+2'

Sep 6, 2021 1.15am

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Jorge Carrascal 19'
Enzo Perez 52'
Braian Romero 66'

Lucas Romero 25'
Fabricio Bustos 29'

Jan 10, 2021 12.30am

0

2

HT : 0 2

FT Estadio Libertadores de AmÃ©rica

Rafael Borre 60'

Alan Velasco 25'
Sergio Barreto 30'
Alan Velasco 40'

Jan 19, 2020 10.10pm

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT Libertadores de America

Pablo Perez 10'
Silvio Romero 47'
Alexander Barboza 53'
Alexander Barboza 62'
Leandro Fernandez 89'

Gonzalo Montiel 3'
Rafael Borre 24'
Enzo Perez 67'
Rafael Borre 69'
Ignacio Fernandez 71'
Cristian Ferreira 79'
Ignacio Scocco 91'
Milton Casco 95'

Mar 17, 2019 8.45pm

3

0

HT : 0 0

FT Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti (Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires)

Javier Pinola 20'
Lucas Martinez 48'
Ignacio Fernandez 52'
Julian Alvarez 59'
Gonzalo Montiel 61'
Ignacio Scocco 70'
Lucas Pratto 82'

Silvio Romero 39'
Nicolas Domingo 53'
Martin Campana 69'
Jorge Figal 87'

Oct 2, 2018 11.30pm

3

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Ignacio Scocco 18'
Lucas Pratto 42'
Ignacio Scocco 47'
Juan Quintero 69'
Bruno Zuculini 79'
Rafael Borre 85'

Jorge Figal 4'
Silvio Romero 55'
Martin Benitez 65'
Francisco Silva 66'

Form Data

River Plate 4 - 2 Cristal

Newell's OB 0 - 1 River Plate

River Plate 3 - 0 Gimnasia

Huracan 0 - 3 River Plate

The Strongest 3 - 1 River Plate

River Plate 1 - 0 Union

Independiente 1 - 1 Racing

Rosario 1 - 0 Independiente

Independiente 1 - 2 Estudiantes

San Lorenzo 0 - 0 Independiente

Independiente 2 - 2 Colon

Barracas Central 1 - 1 Independiente