Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.71%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 25.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.85%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.