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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11
Apr 13, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
Independiente

Rosario
1 - 0
Independiente

Campaz (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Costa (90+7')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Rosario Central and Independiente.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newell's OB 0-0 Rosario
Sunday, April 9 at 8.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Independiente 1-2 Estudiantes
Sunday, April 9 at 6pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 43.71%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.85%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rosario Central in this match.

Result
Rosario CentralDrawIndependiente
43.71% (0.268 0.27) 31.07% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 25.22% (-0.269 -0.27)
Both teams to score 36.59% (-0.165 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.8% (-0.108 -0.11)70.2% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.64% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)87.36% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Rosario Central Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (0.096000000000004 0.1)32.39% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (0.108 0.11)68.9% (-0.11 -0.11)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.12% (-0.32 -0.32)45.88% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.37% (-0.25 -0.25)81.63% (0.247 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Rosario Central 43.71%
    Independiente 25.21%
    Draw 31.06%
Rosario CentralDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 16.75% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.44% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.36% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 43.71%
0-0 @ 14.85% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.87% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 31.06%
0-1 @ 11.57% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 25.21%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 7.30pm
Independiente
0-0
Rosario

Fernandez (54'), Vigo (54'), Pozzo (57'), Romero (67')

Montoya (16'), Buonanotte (60'), Blanco (75'), Frias (84')
Apr 23, 2022 8.30pm
Rosario
3-0
Independiente
Ruben (2'), Velazquez (71'), Montoya (73')
Ferreyra (82')

Barreto (17'), (60'), Romero (82'), Manuel Insaurralde (88'), Ortega (90+4')
Manuel Insaurralde (89')
Aug 15, 2021 12.15am
Rosario
1-2
Independiente
Russo Cordero (79')
Garay (25'), Torrent (27'), Leonardo Luques (82')
Romero (26', 45+2')
Manuel Insaurralde (37'), Velasco (82')
Feb 1, 2020 8.35pm
Independiente
5-0
Rosario
Barboza (3'), Fernandez (33'), Romero (40'), Romero (52'), Roa (74')
Romero (50')

Martinez (14')
Apr 7, 2019 5pm
Rosario
1-2
Independiente
Ortigoza (32' pen.)
Barbieri (56')
Perez (40'), Benitez (45')
rhs 2.0
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