Brasileiro | Gameweek 3

Apr 30, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Arena Pantanal

Cuiaba
1 - 2
Gremio

Marllon (29')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Vinicius (10'), Galdino (68')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Gremio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuiaba

All competitions

Last Game: Cuiaba 1-1 Bragantino
Saturday, April 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Gremio

All competitions

Last Game: Cruzeiro 1-0 Gremio
Sunday, April 23 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Gremio had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Gremio win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	Gremio
39.4% ( 0.07)	28.15% ( -0.04)	32.45% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 46.93% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.87% (

0.13)

59.12% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.43% (

0.1)

79.57% (

-0.1)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

0.11)

29.24% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

0.13)

65.19% (

-0.13)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.32% (

0.05)

33.68% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.67% (

0.05)

70.33% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 39.39%

Gremio 32.44%

Draw 28.14%

Cuiaba	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 12.1% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.61% Total : 39.39%	1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.44%