Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Apr 15, 2023 at 8pm UK
Allianz Parque
Cuiaba

Palmeiras
2 - 1
Cuiaba

Endrick (5'), Manuel Lopez (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Raniele (45+7')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Cuiaba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bolivar 3-1 Palmeiras
Thursday, April 6 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Cuiaba

All competitions
Last Game: Cuiaba 2-1 Coritiba
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 71.48%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 10.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.41%) and 3-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawCuiaba
71.48% (0.88300000000001 0.88)18.08% (-0.391 -0.39)10.44% (-0.485 -0.49)
Both teams to score 44.15% (-0.443 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.51% (0.366 0.37)45.49% (-0.36 -0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.18% (0.349 0.35)67.82% (-0.34400000000001 -0.34)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.61% (0.345 0.34)11.4% (-0.34 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.86% (0.738 0.74)36.15% (-0.732 -0.73)
Cuiaba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.82% (-0.692 -0.69)50.18% (0.698 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.22% (-0.481 -0.48)84.78% (0.48700000000001 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 71.47%
    Cuiaba 10.44%
    Draw 18.08%
PalmeirasDrawCuiaba
2-0 @ 13.48% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 12.41% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 9.76% (0.245 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.73% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.3% (0.204 0.2)
4-1 @ 3.66% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 2.3% (0.118 0.12)
5-1 @ 1.59% (0.051 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 71.47%
1-1 @ 8.57% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 3.21% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 18.08%
0-1 @ 3.94% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-2 @ 2.95% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-2 @ 1.36% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 10.44%

Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 9.30pm
Cuiaba
1-1
Palmeiras
Cafu (6')
Marllon (40')
Manuel Lopez (75')
Jul 19, 2022 12am
Palmeiras
1-0
Cuiaba
Veron (49')
Gomez (43'), Cerqueira (68'), Atuesta (74')

Lucas (83')
Dec 1, 2021 1am
Cuiaba
1-3
Palmeiras
Empereur (37')
Gava (25'), Uendel (45+3'), Pepe (64'), (89')
Silva (4'), Bicalho (30'), Veron (90+1')
Veron (44'), Garcia (61')
Veron (90+2')
Aug 22, 2021 3pm
Palmeiras
0-2
Cuiaba

Deyverson (90+5')
Clayson (2'), Correia (90+4')
Pepe (18')