Brasileiro | Gameweek 38

Nov 13, 2022 at 7pm UK

Cuiaba
2 - 1
Coritiba

Empereur (37'), Cafu (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gamalho (76')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Coritiba.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuiaba

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Cuiaba
Thursday, November 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Coritiba

All competitions

Last Game: Coritiba 2-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, November 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 50.39%. A win for Coritiba had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Coritiba win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	Coritiba
50.39% ( -0.14)	24.26% ( -0.02)	25.36% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 54.53% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.69% (

0.26)

47.31% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.47% (

0.24)

69.54% (

-0.24)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.2% (

0.05)

18.8% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.78% (

0.07)

50.22% (

-0.07)

Coritiba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.16% (

0.28)

32.84% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.59% (

0.31)

69.41% (

-0.31)

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 50.39%

Coritiba 25.36%

Draw 24.25%

Cuiaba	Draw	Coritiba
1-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 50.39%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.36%