Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 51.94%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Ceara	Draw	Cuiaba
51.94% ( 0.05)	25.95% ( -0.02)	22.1% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 46% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.2% (

0.04)

56.8% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.26% (

0.03)

77.73% (

-0.03)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.05% (

0.04)

21.95% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.77% (

0.06)

55.23% (

-0.06)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93% (

-0.01)

41.07% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.38% (

-0)

77.61% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Ceara 51.93%

Cuiaba 22.1%

Draw 25.95%

Ceara	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 13.66% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.93%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.1%