Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 21.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cuiaba would win this match.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	America Mineiro
49.4% ( 0.21)	28.62% ( 0.07)	21.98% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 39.3% (

-0.42)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.6% (

-0.38)

65.4% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.83% (

-0.26)

84.17% (

0.27)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07% (

-0.08)

26.93% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.74% (

-0.1)

62.26% (

0.11)

America Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.79% (

-0.51)

46.21% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.12% (

-0.4)

81.88% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 49.38%

America Mineiro 21.98%

Draw 28.61%

Cuiaba	Draw	America Mineiro
1-0 @ 16.32% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 49.38%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.38% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.59% Total : 21.98%