Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 34
Oct 26, 2022 at 1.45am UK
Arena da Baixada
Palmeiras

Athletico PR
1 - 3
Palmeiras

Felipe (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Endrick (59', 70'), Gomez (76')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last Game: Bragantino 4-2 Athletico PR
Saturday, October 22 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last Game: Palmeiras 3-0 Avai
Sunday, October 23 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawPalmeiras
30.41% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)28.05% (0.0010000000000012 0)41.53% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 46.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.29% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)79.69% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)35.24% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)72% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.89%28.11% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)63.78% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 30.41%
    Palmeiras 41.53%
    Draw 28.05%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 6.84%
2-0 @ 5.39%
3-1 @ 2.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 1.87%
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 30.41%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 12.57%
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-2 @ 7.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.52%
0-3 @ 3.37%
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 41.53%

Head to Head
Sep 7, 2022 1.30am
Palmeiras
2-2
Athletico PR
Scarpa (3'), Gomez (55')
Pablo (64'), Terans (85')
Santana (27')
Aug 31, 2022 1.30am
Athletico PR
1-0
Palmeiras
Santana (23')

Rafael (58')
Jul 3, 2022 1am
Palmeiras
0-2
Athletico PR

Piquerez (57')
Menino (90+1')
Roque (36'), Bueno (58' pen.)
Henrique (39'), Vinicius (45')
Mar 3, 2022 12.30am
Palmeiras
2-0
Athletico PR
Rafael (50'), Danilo (88')
Ferreira (64')
Ferreira (90+1')
Feb 24, 2022 12.30am
Athletico PR
2-2
Palmeiras
Terans (19'), Marlos (76')
Heleno (70'), Erick (74'), Hernandez (90+6')
Jailson (28'), Veiga (90+7' pen.)