Copa Libertadores | Group Stage

Apr 6, 2023 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
3 - 1
Palmeiras

Hervias (20', 20'), Bejarano (45+1'), Uzeda Alderete (89'), Uzeda (89')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Manuel Lopez (13')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Palmeiras.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

Last Game: U. Catolica 2-0 Bolivar
Wednesday, March 2 at 10.15pm in Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras

All competitions

Last Game: Internacional 3-0 Palmeiras
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Bolivar	Draw	Palmeiras
31.84% ( -0.18)	25.59% ( 0.11)	42.56% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 54.61% (

-0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.75% (

-0.53)

49.24% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.69% (

-0.48)

71.3% (

0.47)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.93% (

-0.38)

29.06% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.02% (

-0.47)

64.97% (

0.46)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.98% (

-0.2)

23.01% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.17% (

-0.3)

56.82% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Bolivar 31.84%

Palmeiras 42.56%

Draw 25.58%

Bolivar	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 31.84%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.58%	0-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 42.56%