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Copa Libertadores | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 16, 2022 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
4 - 0
Lara

Sagredo (37'), Savio (69'), Miranda (77', 82')
Sagredo (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Manzano (34')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores First Round clash between Bolivar and Deportivo Lara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Deportivo Lara had a probability of 26.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Deportivo Lara win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.

Result
BolivarDrawDeportivo Lara
49.28%24.05%26.66%
Both teams to score 56.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.6%45.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.27%67.73%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.49%18.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.28%49.72%
Deportivo Lara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.22%30.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.95%67.05%
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 49.28%
    Deportivo Lara 26.66%
    Draw 24.05%
BolivarDrawDeportivo Lara
1-0 @ 9.61%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 5.37%
3-0 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.17%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 49.28%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 5.7%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.71%
1-2 @ 6.67%
0-2 @ 3.95%
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 26.66%

How you voted: Bolivar vs Lara

Bolivar
50.0%
Draw
40.0%
Deportivo Lara
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 9, 2022 10.15pm
First Round 1st Leg
Lara
2-3
Bolivar
Chirinos (2'), Melean (28')
Segovia (38'), Pernia (90+6')
Savio (21'), Da Costa (34', 39')
da Costa (60'), Villamil (87')
rhs 2.0
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