Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Ceara.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.05%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolivar | Draw | Ceara |
| 42.61% | 22.6% | 34.8% |
| Both teams to score 66.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.74% | 34.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.84% | 56.17% |
| Bolivar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.24% | 16.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.31% | 46.69% |
| Ceara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.78% | 20.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.46% | 52.54% |
| Score Analysis |
Bolivar 42.61%
Ceara 34.8%
Draw 22.6%
| Bolivar | Draw | Ceara |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% 1-0 @ 6.05% 2-0 @ 5.41% 3-1 @ 5.15% 3-2 @ 4.11% 3-0 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.84% 4-0 @ 1.44% 4-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.48% Total : 42.61% | 1-1 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 6.91% 0-0 @ 3.39% 3-3 @ 2.19% Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-1 @ 5.42% 0-2 @ 4.33% 1-3 @ 4.12% 2-3 @ 3.68% 0-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 1.65% 2-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.17% Total : 34.8% |


