Brasileiro | Gameweek 5

May 11, 2023 at 12am UK

Arena Pantanal

Cuiaba
0 - 4
Atletico Mineiro

FT(HT: 0-1)

Hyoran (13'), Hulk (51' pen.), Pavon (72'), Paulinho (87')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Cuiaba and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cuiaba

All competitions

Last Game: America Mineiro 1-2 Cuiaba
Sunday, May 7 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, May 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Cuiaba had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Cuiaba win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Cuiaba	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
29.89% ( 0.15)	27.58% ( -0.01)	42.53% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 47.65% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.21% (

0.09)

57.79% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.47% (

0.07)

78.52% (

-0.07)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16% (

0.16)

34.84% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.42% (

0.17)

71.57% (

-0.17)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.13% (

-0.03)

26.87% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.82% (

-0.04)

62.18% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Cuiaba 29.89%

Atletico Mineiro 42.53%

Draw 27.58%

Cuiaba	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 29.89%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.58%	0-1 @ 12.3% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.53%