Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 71.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 10.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.89%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Alianza Lima
71.24% ( 0.26)	18.35% ( -0.07)	10.41% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 43.14% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.21% (

-0.23)

46.79% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.95% (

-0.22)

69.04% (

0.21)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.17% (

11.82% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.93% (

0.01)

37.07% (

-0.02)

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.92% (

-0.52)

51.08% (

0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.61% (

-0.35)

85.39% (

0.35)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 71.23%

Alianza Lima 10.41%

Draw 18.35%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Alianza Lima
2-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 71.23%	1-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.54% Total : 18.35%	0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.41%