Copa Libertadores
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May 4, 2023 1.30am
2
0
HT :
0
0
FT
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
-
Igor Gomes
59'
-
Igor Gomes
68'
Atletico Mineiro vs Alianza Lima - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 71.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 10.41%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.89%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
Result
Atletico Mineiro
71.24%
▲
(+0.27)
Draw
18.35%
▼
(-0.08)
Alianza Lima
10.41%
▼
(-0.20)
Both Teams to Score:
43.14%
▼
(-0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.21%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 2.5
46.79%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 3.5
30.95%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 3.5
69.04%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 4.5
15.34%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 4.5
84.66%
▲
(+0.16)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5
88.17%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
11.82%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
62.93%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
37.07%
▼
(-0.02)
Alianza Lima Goals
Over 0.5
48.92%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 0.5
51.08%
▲
(+0.52)
Over 1.5
14.61%
▼
(-0.36)
Under 1.5
85.39%
▲
(+0.36)
Score analysis
Atletico Mineiro
71.23%
Draw
18.35%
Alianza Lima
10.41%
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
@
13.76%
▲
(+0.15)
1-0 @ 12.89% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 71.23%
1-0 @ 12.89% ▲ (+0.14)
3-0 @ 9.8% ▲ (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.58% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.21% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 71.23%
Draw
1-1
@
8.66%
▼
(-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.35%
0-0 @ 6.04% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.35%
Alianza Lima
0-1
@
4.06%
▼
(-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 10.41%
1-2 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.07)
0-2 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 10.41%