Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2023 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
  • Hulk 10' goal
  • Hulk 84' goal
  • goal Vitor Roque 90'+2'

Atletico Mineiro vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Apr 23, 2023 8.00pm
Santos 0 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Paulinho

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 8.00pm
Fluminense 2 - 0 Athletico PR
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Vitor Roque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 14.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 63.55% (+0.78)
Draw 21.78% (-0.35)
Athletico Paranaense 14.66% (-0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.08% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.85% (+0.54)
Under 2.5 51.14% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 27% (+0.47)
Under 3.5 72.99% (-0.48)
Over 4.5 12.65% (+0.31)
Under 4.5 87.34% (-0.32)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 84.52% (+0.44)
Under 0.5 15.48% (-0.45)
Over 1.5 55.64% (+0.82)
Under 1.5 44.36% (-0.82)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 53.34% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 46.66% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 17.77% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 82.23% (+0.23)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 63.55%
Draw 21.78%
Athletico Paranaense 14.66%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 13.47% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 12.57% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.58% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.82% (+0.19)
3-1 @ 5.96% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 3.65% (+0.14)
4-1 @ 2.78% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.36% (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.06% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-98.07)
Other @ 2%
Total : 63.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.16)
2-2 @ 3.65% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.78%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 3.92% (-0.10)
0-2 @ 2.1% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 14.66%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Apr 19, 2023 1.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Arena da Baixada
  • Vitor Roque 7' goal
  • David Terans 35' goal
  • goal Paulinho 70'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 7, 2022 11.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Igor Rabello 30' goal
  • Allan Rodrigues de Souza 36' yellowcard
  • Cristian Pavon 54' goal
  • goal Vitor Roque 46'
  • yellowcard Pedrinho 51'
  • goal Vitor Roque 56'
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 76'
  • goal Agustin Canobbio 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 17, 2022 10.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Pablo 73' yellowcard
  • Hugo Moura 80' yellowcard
  • goal Matias Zaracho 49'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Fernandez 78'
  • yellowcard Ademir 80'
  • yellowcard Nathan Silva 90'+1'
Copa do Brasil
Dec 16, 2021 12.30am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena da Baixada
  • Renato Kayzer 29' yellowcard
  • Abner Vinicius 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Cittadini 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Jaderson Flores dos Reis 87' goal
  • Jaderson 87' goal
  • goal Keno 25'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Vargas 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Jair 56'
  • goal Hulk 76'
Copa do Brasil
Dec 12, 2021 8.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Hulk 22' yellowcard
  • Hulk 24' goal
  • Keno 35' goal
  • Eduardo Vargas 56' goal
  • Guilherme Arana 58' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Vargas 69' goal
  • Igor Rabello 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 11'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hernandez 19'
  • yellowcard Pedro Henrique 53'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 16, 2021 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Carlos Eduardo 41' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diego Costa 38'
  • yellowcard Jair 41'
  • goal Matias Zaracho 45'