Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Nov 13, 2022 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adryelson 52' goal
  • Vitor Roque 62' goal
  • Erick 90'+5' goal

Athletico Paranaense vs Botafogo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Nov 10, 2022 12.30am
Atletico GO 1 - 1 Athletico PR

Botafogo

All competitions
Last game
Nov 10, 2022 11.00pm
Botafogo 3 - 0 Santos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result

Athletico Paranaense 49.29% (+0.19)
Draw 24.57% (-0.04)
Botafogo 26.14% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.26% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.98% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 48.02% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 29.81% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 70.19% (-0.06)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 80.48% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 19.52% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 48.59% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 51.42% (-0.16)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 67.42% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 32.58% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 30.88% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 69.12% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 49.29%
Draw 24.57%
Botafogo 26.14%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 10.39% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.52% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.49% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.18% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 4.62% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.89% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 49.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.36% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.57%
Botafogo
0-1 @ 7.13% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.53% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 26.14%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Jul 24, 2022 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Erison 19' goal
  • Jeffinho 54' goal
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 47'
  • yellowcard David Terans 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Jan 6, 2021 10.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marcelo 69' yellowcard
  • Matheus Babi 71' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 83' yellowcard
  • goal Renato Kayzer 31'
  • yellowcard Nikao 44'
  • yellowcard Renato Kayzer 45'+2'
  • goal Leonardo Cittadini 48'
Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Sep 9, 2020 9.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Joaquim Américo Guimarães
  • Lucho Gonzalez 9' yellowcard
  • Ravanelli 88' goal
  • goal Victor Luis 80'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 17, 2019 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Joaquim Américo Guimarães (Curitiba, Paraná)
  • Thonny Anderson 39' yellowcard
  • Thiago Heleno 47' yellowcard
  • Thonny Anderson 59' goal
  • Robson Bambu 65' yellowcard
  • Marcio Azevedo 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joel Carli 22'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Aug 11, 2019 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)
  • Luiz Morais 31' goal
  • Joao Paulo 40' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pimpao 49' yellowcard
  • Cicero Santos 67' yellowcard
  • Diego Souza 77' goal
  • goal Thonny Anderson 16'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Cittadini 49'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 28, 2018 1.00am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Guilherme 40' yellowcard
  • Bergson 44' yellowcard
  • Bergson 56' goal
  • Pablo 84' goal
  • goal Brenner 30'
  • yellowcard Saulo 50'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Conceicao 64'
  • yellowcard Joel Carli 64'
  • yellowcard Matheus Fernandes 72'
  • yellowcard Luiz Fernando 81'