Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Botafogo
49.29% ( 0.18)	24.57% ( -0.04)	26.14% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 54.26% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.98% (

0.07)

48.02% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.81% (

0.06)

70.19% (

-0.05)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.48% (

0.1)

19.52% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.59% (

0.16)

51.42% (

-0.15)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.42% (

-0.07)

32.58% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.88% (

-0.09)

69.12% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 49.29%

Botafogo 26.14%

Draw 24.57%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 49.29%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 26.14%