Copa Libertadores
Apr 4, 2023 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT

Alianza Lima vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Alianza Lima

All competitions

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Alianza Lima 45.17% (-0.27)
Draw 26.92% (+0.37)
Athletico Paranaense 27.91% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.48% (-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.78% (-1.43)
Under 2.5 56.21% (+1.42)
Over 3.5 22.73% (-1.17)
Under 3.5 77.26% (+1.17)
Over 4.5 9.95% (-0.73)
Under 4.5 90.05% (+0.72)

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5 75.2% (-0.76)
Under 0.5 24.8% (+0.76)
Over 1.5 40.62% (-1.07)
Under 1.5 59.38% (+1.06)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 64.47% (-0.85)
Under 0.5 35.53% (+0.85)
Over 1.5 27.7% (-0.89)
Under 1.5 72.3% (+0.89)

Score analysis

Alianza Lima 45.16%
Draw 26.91%
Athletico Paranaense 27.91%
Alianza Lima
1-0 @ 12.28% (+0.40)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 8.57% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 3.98% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.39% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.71% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 8.81% (+0.48)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.17)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.91%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 9.12% (+0.29)
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 4.72% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 27.91%