Brasileiro | Gameweek 4

May 7, 2023 at 10.30pm UK

Estádio Nilton Santos

Botafogo
2 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Victor (30'), Nascimento (60')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Botafogo and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 LDU Quito
Friday, May 5 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Alianza Lima
Thursday, May 4 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 36.34%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.6%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 1-0 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
34.94% ( 0.38)	28.72% ( 0.14)	36.34% ( -0.52)

Both teams to score 45.65% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.13% (

-0.48)

60.87% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.1% (

-0.36)

80.9% (

0.37)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.12% (

32.88% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54% (

69.46%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03% (

-0.57)

31.97% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.57% (

-0.66)

68.43% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 34.94%

Atletico Mineiro 36.33%

Draw 28.71%

Botafogo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 34.94%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.71%	0-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.6% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.82% Total : 36.33%