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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 5, 2023 at 1am UK
Estádio Olímpico João Havelange

Botafogo
0 - 0
LDU Quito

FT
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Botafogo and LDU Quito.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Flamengo 2-3 Botafogo
Sunday, April 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro

LDU Quito

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 4-0 Magallanes
Thursday, April 20 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 17.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
BotafogoDrawLDU Quito
60.01% (0.301 0.3)22.96% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)17.04% (-0.281 -0.28)
Both teams to score 46.7% (-0.45 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.26% (-0.32 -0.32)51.74% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.49% (-0.277 -0.28)73.51% (0.273 0.27)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)16.88% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)46.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.19% (-0.537 -0.54)43.81% (0.532 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.03% (-0.446 -0.45)79.97% (0.441 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 60%
    LDU Quito 17.04%
    Draw 22.95%
BotafogoDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 13.15% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 11.7% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.94% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.09% (0.036 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 60%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.092 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 22.95%
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.52% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.23% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 17.04%