Copa Sudamericana
Apr 21, 2023 1.00am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Nilton Santos
  • Joao Victor 14' goal
  • Tiquinho 45'+3' goal
  • Carlos Eduardo 57' goal
  • Tche Tche 73' goal

Botafogo vs Cesar Vallejo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Botafogo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 1.00am
Magallanes 2 - 2 Botafogo

Cesar Vallejo

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 5, 2023 1.00am
Cesar Vallejo 1 - 2 LDU Quito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Cesar Vallejo win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result

Botafogo 62.28% (-0.14)
Draw 21.92% (-0.05)
Cesar Vallejo 15.8% (+0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.22% (+0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.34% (+0.50)
Under 2.5 49.66% (-0.50)
Over 3.5 28.32% (+0.44)
Under 3.5 71.68% (-0.44)
Over 4.5 13.53% (+0.30)
Under 4.5 86.47% (-0.30)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 84.6% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 15.4% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 55.79% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 44.21% (-0.23)

Cesar Vallejo Goals

Over 0.5 55.82% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 44.18% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 19.73% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 80.27% (-0.44)

Score analysis

Botafogo 62.27%
Draw 21.91%
Cesar Vallejo 15.8%
Botafogo
1-0 @ 12.72% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 11.9% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.73% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 7.43% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 6.07% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 3.47% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.84% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.48% (+0.06)
5-0 @ 1.3% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 62.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.39% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.14)
2-2 @ 3.97% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 21.91%
Cesar Vallejo
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 4.25% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 2.27% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.16% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.08% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 15.8%