Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesar Vallejo win with a probability of 69.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Deportivo Binacional had a probability of 12.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesar Vallejo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Deportivo Binacional win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesar Vallejo would win this match.