Sao Paulo
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio do Morumbi

Sao Paulo
5 - 1
Binacional

Bueno (7'), Brenner (35'), Pablo (51', 85'), Arboleda (54')
Tche (77')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Carlos Francisco Deza Sanchez (40')
Carlos Francisco Deza Sanchez (77')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Sao Paulo and Deportivo Binacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 71.34%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Deportivo Binacional had a probability of 9.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.68%) and 3-0 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.72%), while for a Deportivo Binacional win it was 0-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sao Paulo would win this match.

Result
Sao PauloDrawDeportivo Binacional
71.34%18.95%9.71%
Both teams to score 38.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.86%51.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.01%72.98%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93%13.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.33%39.66%
Deportivo Binacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.76%55.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.98%88.02%
Score Analysis
    Sao Paulo 71.31%
    Deportivo Binacional 9.71%
    Draw 18.95%
Sao PauloDrawDeportivo Binacional
2-0 @ 14.94%
1-0 @ 14.68%
3-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 8.87%
3-1 @ 6.02%
4-0 @ 5.16%
4-1 @ 3.06%
5-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.79%
5-1 @ 1.25%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 71.31%
1-1 @ 8.72%
0-0 @ 7.22%
2-2 @ 2.63%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 18.95%
0-1 @ 4.29%
1-2 @ 2.59%
0-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 9.71%