Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

Apr 7, 2023 at 1am UK

Estadio El Teniente

Magallanes
2 - 2
Botafogo

Canales (16'), Contreras (75')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Tiquinho (6'), Eduardo (58')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Magallanes and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Magallanes

Last Game: Medellin 2-0 Magallanes
Thursday, March 16 at 12am in Copa Libertadores

Botafogo

All competitions

Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-0 Botafogo
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Magallanes had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Magallanes win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Magallanes	Draw	Botafogo
29.75% ( -0.26)	27.71% ( 0.07)	42.53% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 47.22% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.68% (

-0.32)

58.31% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.06% (

-0.25)

78.93% (

0.25)

Magallanes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.77% (

-0.37)

35.22% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.02% (

-0.38)

71.97% (

0.39)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.89% (

-0.05)

27.11% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.5% (

-0.06)

62.49% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Magallanes 29.75%

Botafogo 42.53%

Draw 27.71%

Magallanes	Draw	Botafogo
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.75%	1-1 @ 13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 12.46% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.53%