Copa Libertadores
Mar 16, 2023 12.00am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Luciano Pons 15' goal
  • Luciano Pons 39' goal

Independiente Medellin vs Magallanes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 8, 2023 10.00pm
Magallanes 1 - 1 Medellin

Magallanes

All competitions
Copa Libertadores
Last game
Mar 8, 2023 10.00pm
Magallanes 1 - 1 Medellin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Magallanes had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Magallanes win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result

Independiente Medellin 48.32% (-0.18)
Draw 25.32% (-0.01)
Magallanes 26.36% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.09% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.03% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 50.97% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 27.16% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 72.84% (-0.13)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 78.89% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 21.11% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 46.05% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 53.95% (+0.03)

Magallanes Goals

Over 0.5 66.03% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 33.97% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 29.35% (+0.24)
Under 1.5 70.65% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Independiente Medellin 48.31%
Draw 25.32%
Magallanes 26.36%
Independiente Medellin
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.68% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 48.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.06% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 25.32%
Magallanes
0-1 @ 7.74% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.5% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.18% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.34% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 26.36%

Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
Mar 8, 2023 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Teniente
  • Yorman Zapata 90'+5' goal
  • goal Emerson Batalla 70'