Copa Sudamericana
May 4, 2022 1.30am
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Alfredo Stephens 32' goal
  • Kevin Becerra 58' goal
  • Alfredo Stephens 68' goal
  • Kevin Becerra 75' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Hinds 85' yellowcard
  • goal Edwar Lopez 36'
  • yellowcard Javier Mendez 40'
  • yellowcard German Gutierrez 54'
  • goal Miguel Camargo 65'
  • redcard Javier Mendez 90'+1'

9 de Octubre vs Independiente Medellin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

9 de Octubre

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 27, 2022 11.15pm
Guairena 1 - 0 9 de Octubre

Independiente Medellin

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 27, 2022 1.30am
Medellin 0 - 1 Internacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 9 de Octubre win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 22.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a 9 de Octubre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that 9 de Octubre would win this match.

Result

9 de Octubre 51.68%
Draw 26%
Independiente Medellin 22.32%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.1%

Goals

Over 2.5 43.2%
Under 2.5 56.79%
Over 3.5 22.26%
Under 3.5 77.73%

9 de Octubre Goals

Over 0.5 77.94%
Under 0.5 22.06%
Over 1.5 44.6%
Under 1.5 55.4%

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5 59.14%
Under 0.5 40.85%
Over 1.5 22.57%
Under 1.5 77.42%

Score analysis

9 de Octubre 51.67%
Draw 26%
Independiente Medellin 22.32%
9 de Octubre
1-0 @ 13.62%
2-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.22%
3-0 @ 5.19%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.96%
4-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 51.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19%
0-0 @ 9.01%
2-2 @ 4.13%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 26%
Independiente Medellin
0-1 @ 8.07%
1-2 @ 5.46%
0-2 @ 3.61%
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.23%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 22.32%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Apr 15, 2022 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Estadio Atanasio Girardot
  • Luciano Pons 9' goal
  • Vladimir Hernandez 9' goal
  • Adrian Arregui 10' yellowcard
  • David Alejandro Loaiza Gutierrez 53' yellowcard
  • David Loaiza 53' yellowcard
  • Luciano Pons 56' yellowcard
  • Andres Ricaurte 85' yellowcard
  • Bryan David Castrillon Gomez 90'+4' goal
  • Bryan Castrillon 90'+4' goal
  • Bryan David Castrillon Gomez 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Bryan Castrillon 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Manuel Erasmo Lucas Ayovi 5'
  • goal Manuel Lucas 5'
  • yellowcard Kevin Becerra 42'
  • yellowcard Jorge Pinos 44'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Hinds 67'
  • yellowcard Geovanny Nazareno 83'
  • yellowcard Danny Luna 90'+2'