Medellin
Copa Sudamericana | First Round | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Medellin
2 - 1
America

Hernandez (45+2'), Cadavid (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ramos (48', 48')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Independiente Medellin and America de Cali.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

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Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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America de Cali

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Last Game: America 2-1 Medellin (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 17 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Independiente Medellin in this match.

Result
Independiente MedellinDrawAmerica de Cali
48.71%22.33%28.97%
Both teams to score 64.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.36%35.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.3%57.7%
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.96%15.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.46%43.54%
America de Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85%24.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.54%58.46%
Score Analysis
    Independiente Medellin 48.71%
    America de Cali 28.97%
    Draw 22.33%
Independiente MedellinDrawAmerica de Cali
2-1 @ 9.26%
1-0 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 5.85%
3-2 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 4.12%
4-1 @ 2.77%
4-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.05%
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 9.78%
2-2 @ 6.58%
0-0 @ 3.63%
3-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.33%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-1 @ 5.16%
0-2 @ 3.67%
1-3 @ 3.29%
2-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 1.74%
1-4 @ 1.17%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 28.97%