Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 17, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Medellin2 - 3Caracas
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and Caracas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Caracas had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Caracas win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Independiente Medellin | Draw | Caracas |
| 51.58% | 26.23% | 22.19% |
| Both teams to score 45.35% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
