Copa Sudamericana
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Luciano Pons
9'
-
Vladimir Hernandez
9'
-
Adrian Arregui
10'
-
David Alejandro Loaiza Gutierrez
53'
-
David Loaiza
53'
-
Luciano Pons
56'
-
Andres Ricaurte
85'
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Bryan David Castrillon Gomez
90'+4'
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Bryan Castrillon
90'+4'
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Bryan David Castrillon Gomez
90'+6'
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Bryan Castrillon
90'+6'
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Manuel Erasmo Lucas Ayovi
5'
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Manuel Lucas
5'
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Kevin Becerra
42'
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Jorge Pinos
44'
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Ricardo Hinds
67'
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Geovanny Nazareno
83'
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Danny Luna
90'+2'
Independiente Medellin vs 9 de Octubre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for 9 de Octubre had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest 9 de Octubre win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.
Result
Independiente Medellin
47.21%
Draw
24.6%
9 de Octubre
28.19%
Both Teams to Score:
55.83%
Goals
Over 2.5
53.28%
Under 2.5
46.72%
Over 3.5
31.01%
Under 3.5
68.98%
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5
80.13%
Under 0.5
19.86%
Over 1.5
48.03%
Under 1.5
51.97%
9 de Octubre Goals
Over 0.5
69.67%
Under 0.5
30.33%
Over 1.5
33.49%
Under 1.5
66.51%
Score analysis
Independiente Medellin
47.21%
Draw
24.59%
9 de Octubre
28.19%
Independiente Medellin
1-0
@
9.74%
2-1 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 7.87%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.21%
2-1 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 7.87%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 3.02%
4-1 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.21%
Draw
1-1
@
11.61%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.59%
0-0 @ 6.02%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.59%
9 de Octubre
0-1
@
7.19%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.19%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 28.19%