Medellin
2 - 1
9 de Octubre

Pons (9'), Hernandez (9'), David Castrillon Gomez (90+4'), Castrillon (90+4')
Arregui (10'), Alejandro Loaiza Gutierrez (53'), Loaiza (53'), Pons (56'), Ricaurte (85'), David Castrillon Gomez (90+6'), Castrillon (90+6')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Erasmo Lucas Ayovi (5'), Lucas (5')
Becerra (42'), Pinos (44'), Hinds (67'), Nazareno (83'), Luna (90+2')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Independiente Medellin and 9 de Octubre.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

9 de Octubre

Last Game: Internacional 5-1 9 de Octubre
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 47.21%. A win for 9 de Octubre had a probability of 28.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest 9 de Octubre win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result
Independiente Medellin	Draw	9 de Octubre
47.21%	24.6%	28.19%

Both teams to score 55.83%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.28%

46.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.01%

68.98%

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.13%

19.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.03%

51.97%

9 de Octubre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.67%

30.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.49%

66.51%

Score Analysis

Independiente Medellin 47.21%

9 de Octubre 28.19%

Draw 24.59%

Independiente Medellin	Draw	9 de Octubre
1-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-0 @ 4.24% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.93% Total : 47.21%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 6.93% 0-2 @ 4.29% 1-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 3.09% Total : 28.19%