America
2 - 1
Medellin

(3-3 on aggregate)

Sierra (9'), Ramos (63')
Segura (56')

FT
(aet)

Pons (24')
Felipe Mosquera Marmolejo (45+4'), Gutierrez (45+2'), Mosquera (45+4')

Medellin win 3-1 on penalties

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between America de Cali and Independiente Medellin.

Form, Standings, Stats

America de Cali

Last Game: America 2-1 Medellin (1-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 17 at 12.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Independiente Medellin

Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for America de Cali had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest America de Cali win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%).

Result
America de Cali	Draw	Independiente Medellin
36.55%	24.58%	38.87%

Both teams to score 59.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.28%

43.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.89%

66.11%

America de Cali Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.38%

23.62%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29%

57.71%

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.57%

22.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.05%

55.95%

Score Analysis

America de Cali 36.55%

Independiente Medellin 38.87%

Draw 24.57%

America de Cali	Draw	Independiente Medellin
2-1 @ 8.25% 1-0 @ 7.64% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-2 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.11% Total : 36.55%	1-1 @ 11.42% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.57%	1-2 @ 8.54% 0-1 @ 7.92% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 4.26% 2-3 @ 3.07% 0-3 @ 2.95% 1-4 @ 1.59% 2-4 @ 1.15% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.36% Total : 38.87%