Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 25, 2022 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Medellin
1 - 1
Guairena

Armando Cambindo Abonia (27')
Gomez (39'), Carlos Pineda Jimenez (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Duarte (60')
Jimenez (30'), Gimenez (32'), Salinas (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Independiente Medellin and Guairena, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente Medellin

Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Guairena

Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Guairena had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Guairena win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Independiente Medellin	Draw	Guairena
39.87% ( -0.01)	23.75% ( 0.01)	36.38%

Both teams to score 62.33% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.28% (

-0.02)

39.72% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.93% (

-0.02)

62.07% (

0.02)

Independiente Medellin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.8% (

-0.01)

20.2% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.5% (

-0.02)

52.5% (

0.02)

Guairena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.1% (

-0.01)

21.9% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.85% (

-0.02)

55.15% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Independiente Medellin 39.87%

Guairena 36.38%

Draw 23.75%

Independiente Medellin	Draw	Guairena
2-1 @ 8.59% 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.03% Total : 39.87%	1-1 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.75%	1-2 @ 8.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.58% 1-4 @ 1.57% 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.38%