Guairena
0 - 0
Nacional

(Guairena win 1-0 on aggregate)

Otazu (37')

Franco (6'), Espinola (32'), Garcia (51')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guairena and Club Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guairena

Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Club Nacional

Last Game: Guairena 0-0 Nacional
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guairena win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Club Nacional had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guairena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Club Nacional win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Guairena	Draw	Club Nacional
40.05%	26.51%	33.44%

Both teams to score 52.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.33%

52.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.68%

74.32%

Guairena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.17%

25.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.21%

60.79%

Club Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.28%

29.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.22%

65.78%

Score Analysis

Guairena 40.05%

Club Nacional 33.44%

Draw 26.5%

Guairena	Draw	Club Nacional
1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 3.17% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.05%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 5.18% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 9.31% 1-2 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.09% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.44%