Copa Sudamericana | First Round
Mar 18, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Parque del Guaira
Guairena1 - 2River Plate
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Guairena and River Plate.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guairena win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guairena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest River Plate win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Guairena | Draw | River Plate |
| 38.26% | 27.93% | 33.81% |
| Both teams to score 47.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.88% | 58.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.21% | 78.79% |
| Guairena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% | 29.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.58% | 65.41% |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% | 32.22% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.28% | 68.71% |
| Score Analysis |
Guairena 38.25%
River Plate 33.8%
Draw 27.92%
| Guairena | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 8.04% 2-0 @ 7.1% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 2.89% 3-2 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.25% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.48% 2-2 @ 4.55% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.92% | 0-1 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.8% |
How you voted: Guairena vs River Plate
Guairena
42.9%Draw
28.6%River Plate
28.6%7


