Nacional
0 - 1
Guairena

(Guairena win 1-0 on aggregate)

Prieto (46'), Cabrera (58')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marin (53')
Salinas (24'), Ayala (31'), Godoy (35'), Jimenez (45'), Paniagua (60')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana First Round clash between Club Nacional and Guairena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Club Nacional

Last Game: Guairena 0-0 Nacional
Thursday, March 17 at 10.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Guairena

Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Nacional win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Guairena had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Guairena win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Club Nacional	Draw	Guairena
43.18%	26.42%	30.4%

Both teams to score 51.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.82%

53.18%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.25%

74.75%

Club Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56%

24.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.13%

58.87%

Guairena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95%

32.05%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48%

68.52%

Score Analysis

Club Nacional 43.18%

Guairena 30.4%

Draw 26.41%

Club Nacional	Draw	Guairena
1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 8.85% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 4.16% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 2.36% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.18%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 5.03% Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.41%	0-1 @ 8.91% 1-2 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.4%