Internacional (Brasil)
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 17, 2022 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio José Pinheiro Borda
Medellin

Internacional
2 - 0
Medellin

Edenilson (19', 57')
Edenilson (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Guillermo Arboleda (40')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Internacional and Independiente Medellin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Internacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Santos 1-1 Internacional
Thursday, June 9 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Internacional vs. Flamengo
Sunday, June 12 at 1am in Brasileiro

Independiente Medellin

Last Six:
    Last Game: Medellin 1-1 Guairena
    Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 18.56%.

    The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

    Result
    InternacionalDrawIndependiente Medellin
    54.97% (-0.518 -0.52)26.47% (1.042 1.04)18.56% (-0.528 -0.53)
    Both teams to score 40.13% (-3.302 -3.3)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    38.03% (-3.938 -3.94)61.96% (3.936 3.94)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    18.29% (-2.998 -3)81.71% (2.997 3)
    Internacional Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    77.18% (-1.853 -1.85)22.81% (1.849 1.85)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    43.46% (-2.813 -2.81)56.53% (2.81 2.81)
    Independiente Medellin Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    51.99% (-2.96 -2.96)48.01% (2.958 2.96)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    16.76% (-2.268 -2.27)83.24% (2.264 2.26)
    Score Analysis
        Internacional 54.96%
        Independiente Medellin 18.56%
        Draw 26.46%
    InternacionalDrawIndependiente Medellin
    1-0 @ 16.18% (1.43 1.43)
    2-0 @ 11.95% (0.43 0.43)
    2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.416 -0.42)
    3-0 @ 5.89% (-0.112 -0.11)
    3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.464 -0.46)
    4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.168 -0.17)
    4-1 @ 1.6% (-0.272 -0.27)
    3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.322 -0.32)
    Other @ 2.48%
    Total : 54.96%
    		1-1 @ 11.87% (0.11 0.11)
    0-0 @ 10.95% (1.505 1.51)
    2-2 @ 3.22% (-0.445 -0.45)
    Other @ 0.42%
    Total : 26.46%
    		0-1 @ 8.04% (0.506 0.51)
    1-2 @ 4.36% (-0.334 -0.33)
    0-2 @ 2.95% (-0.054 -0.05)
    1-3 @ 1.07% (-0.181 -0.18)
    Other @ 2.15%
    Total : 18.56%

    Head to Head
    Apr 27, 2022 1.30am
    Medellin
    0-1
    Internacional

    Mendez (72'), Moreno (90+5')
    Alemao (54')
    Vitao (18')