Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Internacional and Independiente Medellin.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 54.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Independiente Medellin had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for a Independiente Medellin win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.