Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 23, 2023 at 10pm UK
 

Magallanes
3 - 0
Always Ready

Vilches (21'), Pinero (80'), Filla (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Magallanes and Always Ready.

Form, Standings, Stats

Magallanes

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Always Ready

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Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Always Ready
Friday, May 27 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magallanes win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Always Ready had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Magallanes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Always Ready win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Magallanes would win this match.

Result
MagallanesDrawAlways Ready
49.98% (0.132 0.13)24.49% (-0.044 -0.04)25.53% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.93% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.82% (0.109 0.11)48.18% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.66% (0.101 0.1)70.33% (-0.107 -0.11)
Magallanes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (0.094999999999999 0.09)19.3% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.94% (0.16200000000001 0.16)51.05% (-0.167 -0.17)
Always Ready Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)33.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)69.77% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Magallanes 49.98%
    Always Ready 25.53%
    Draw 24.49%
MagallanesDrawAlways Ready
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.66% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.95% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 49.98%
1-1 @ 11.62% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.4% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.53%

rhs 2.0


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