Copa Sudamericana
Apr 20, 2023 3.00am
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jose Enrique Angulo 53' goal
  • Jose Enrique Angulo 53' goal
  • Jose Enrique Angulo 55' goal
  • Mauricio Martinez 86' goal
  • Fernando Pinero 89' goal

LDU Quito vs Magallanes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

LDU Quito

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 5, 2023 1.00am
Cesar Vallejo 1 - 2 LDU Quito

Magallanes

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Apr 7, 2023 1.00am
Magallanes 2 - 2 Botafogo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Magallanes had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Magallanes win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result

LDU Quito 56.12% (-1.66)
Draw 22.7% (+0.94)
Magallanes 21.18% (+0.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.5% (-2.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.08% (-3.24)
Under 2.5 44.91% (+3.25)
Over 3.5 32.73% (-3.20)
Under 3.5 67.27% (+3.20)
Over 4.5 16.6% (-2.36)
Under 4.5 83.4% (+2.37)

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5 84.17% (-1.65)
Under 0.5 15.82% (+1.65)
Over 1.5 55% (-3.12)
Under 1.5 45% (+3.13)

Magallanes Goals

Over 0.5 64.75% (-1.14)
Under 0.5 35.25% (+1.15)
Over 1.5 27.99% (-1.21)
Under 1.5 72.01% (+1.22)

Score analysis

LDU Quito 56.11%
Draw 22.7%
Magallanes 21.18%
LDU Quito
1-0 @ 10.28% (+0.84)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 9.48% (+0.26)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.39)
3-0 @ 5.83% (-0.19)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.31)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.36)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.25)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.24)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.21)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 56.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.72% (+0.57)
0-0 @ 5.58% (+0.75)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.19)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.15)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.7%
Magallanes
0-1 @ 5.82% (+0.62)
1-2 @ 5.59% (+0.13)
0-2 @ 3.03% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.13)
0-3 @ 1.05% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.18%