Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.2%. A win for Talleres had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Talleres win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.