Fluminense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Bragantino

Fluminense
2 - 1
Bragantino

Ganso (27'), Melo (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Borbas (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Fluminense and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Fluminense
Friday, June 2 at 12am in Copa do Brasil

Bragantino

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bragantino 2-0 Santos
Sunday, May 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawBragantino
58.73% (1.133 1.13)22.13% (-0.516 -0.52)19.14% (-0.614 -0.61)
Both teams to score 53.08% (0.63 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.79% (1.356 1.36)45.2% (-1.352 -1.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.45% (1.285 1.29)67.55% (-1.282 -1.28)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94% (0.84100000000001 0.84)15.06% (-0.836 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.43% (1.567 1.57)43.56% (-1.564 -1.56)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.48% (0.127 0.13)37.51% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.7% (0.124 0.12)74.29% (-0.12 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 58.72%
    Bragantino 19.14%
    Draw 22.12%
FluminenseDrawBragantino
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93% (0.039 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.39% (0.187 0.19)
3-1 @ 6.27% (0.204 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.11 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.172 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.178 0.18)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.092 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.096 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 10.48% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.87% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.12%
0-1 @ 5.54% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-2 @ 5.14% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 19.14%

How you voted: Fluminense vs Bragantino

Fluminense
80.0%
Draw
0.0%
Bragantino
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 13, 2022 7pm
gameweek 38
Bragantino
0-1
Fluminense
Cano (31')
Jul 24, 2022 8pm
gameweek 19
Fluminense
2-1
Bragantino
Arias (62'), Cano (66')
Nino (27'), Andre (53'), Manoel (82'), Melo (83'), Paulista (87')
Marrony (90+8')
Candido (72')
Silva (31'), Barbieri (69'), Eduardo (76')
Sep 26, 2021 8pm
gameweek 22
Fluminense
2-1
Bragantino
Fred (12'), Henrique (43')
Nonato (32'), Martinelli (75')
Helinho (62')
Realpe (20'), Novaes (34')
Jun 14, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 3
Bragantino
2-2
Fluminense
Evangelista (7'), Artur (45+3')
Natan (14'), Jadsom (27')
Paulista (75'), Hernandez (90+4' pen.)
Henrique (21'), Machado Marques (38')
Nov 30, 2020 11pm
gameweek 23
Fluminense
0-0
Bragantino

Ferraz (51'), Martinelli (53')

Helinho (45+3'), Candido (45+5'), Cuello (90+2')