Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 63.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Bragantino win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.