Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Apr 29, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Allianz Parque
Corinthians

Palmeiras
2 - 1
Corinthians

Cerqueira (16'), Veiga (36')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Piquerez (76' og.)
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 67.82%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 12.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
PalmeirasDrawCorinthians
67.82% (0.093999999999994 0.09)19.77% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)12.41% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 45.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (0.00099999999999767 0)47.7% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.89%
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.94% (0.029000000000011 0.03)13.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.35% (0.058 0.06)39.65% (-0.055 -0.05)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.96% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)48.04% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.74% (-0.073 -0.07)83.26% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Palmeiras 67.81%
    Corinthians 12.41%
    Draw 19.77%
PalmeirasDrawCorinthians
2-0 @ 12.99% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 12.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.82% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.47% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 4.49% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.29% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 67.81%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 19.77%
0-1 @ 4.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.69% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 12.41%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 11pm
gameweek 22
Corinthians
0-1
Palmeiras

Vera (2'), Guedes (18')
Roni (72' og.)
Manuel Lopez (40'), Piquerez (85')
Apr 23, 2022 11pm
gameweek 3
Palmeiras
3-0
Corinthians
Gomez (14'), Rony (19'), Dudu (71')
Gomez (50')

Maycon (27'), Piton (79')
Sep 25, 2021 11pm
gameweek 22
Corinthians
2-1
Palmeiras
Guedes (20', 84')
Fagner (34')
Menino (45+2')
de Paula (32')
Jun 12, 2021 11pm
gameweek 3
Palmeiras
1-1
Corinthians
Veiga (3')
Renan (50'), Melo (90+1')
Gabriel (55')
Jan 18, 2021 10pm
gameweek 28
Palmeiras
4-0
Corinthians
Veiga (34', 48'), Adriano (45', 66')
Vina (31'), D (60')

Silva (64'), Xavier (72'), Gil (75')
Gabriel (77')