Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 21.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
Corinthians	Draw	Cruzeiro
55.44% ( -0.02)	23.19% ( 0.07)	21.36% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.19% (

-0.36)

46.8% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.94% (

-0.34)

69.06% (

0.33)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.27% (

-0.14)

16.72% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.36% (

-0.24)

46.63% (

0.24)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.85% (

-0.25)

36.14% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.07% (

-0.26)

72.92% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Corinthians 55.44%

Cruzeiro 21.36%

Draw 23.19%

Corinthians	Draw	Cruzeiro
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 55.44%	1-1 @ 11% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.19%	0-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.82% Total : 21.36%