Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.