Copa Libertadores
Apr 6, 2023 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Fabian Balbuena 45'+1'
  • goal Roger Guedes 49'
  • goal Roger Guedes 63'

Liverpool vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions

Corinthians

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result

Liverpool 22.13% (-0.23)
Draw 27.32% (-0.02)
Corinthians 50.55% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.52% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.64% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 61.36% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 18.74% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 81.26% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 7.62% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 92.38% (+0.05)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 56.33% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 43.67% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 20.15% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 79.85% (+0.25)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 75.48% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 24.52% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 41.01% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 58.99% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Liverpool 22.13%
Draw 27.31%
Corinthians 50.54%
Liverpool
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 5.17% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 3.68% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.7% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.31%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 15.05% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 10.57% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.96% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.11% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.44% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 50.54%