Liverpool (Uruguay)
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 6, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Belvedere
Corinthians

Liverpool
0 - 3
Corinthians

FT(HT: 0-1)
Balbuena (45+1'), Guedes (49', 63')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Liverpool and Corinthians.

Form, Standings, Stats

Liverpool

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 1-0 Liverpool
Friday, March 31 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Corinthians

All competitions
Last Game: Corinthians 0-1 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Liverpool had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Liverpool win it was 1-0 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawCorinthians
22.13% (-0.224 -0.22)27.32% (-0.02 -0.02)50.55% (0.246 0.25)
Both teams to score 42.52% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.64% (-0.107 -0.11)61.36% (0.108 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.74% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)81.26% (0.078999999999994 0.08)
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.33% (-0.29 -0.29)43.67% (0.29 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.15% (-0.242 -0.24)79.85% (0.24300000000001 0.24)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48% (0.067999999999998 0.07)24.52% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (0.092999999999996 0.09)58.99% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 22.13%
    Corinthians 50.54%
    Draw 27.31%
LiverpoolDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.17% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-0 @ 3.68% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.02% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.13%
1-1 @ 12.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.63% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 15.05% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 10.57% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 4.96% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.11% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.74% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.44% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 50.54%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Corinthians

Liverpool
23.1%
Draw
7.7%
Corinthians
69.2%
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