Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 25.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.