Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Liverpool in this match.