Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Liverpool
39.04% ( -0.72)	28.93% ( 0.28)	32.03% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 44.63% (

-0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.08% (

-0.85)

61.92% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.32% (

-0.63)

81.68% (

0.64)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

-0.85)

30.84% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

-1.01)

67.11% (

1.02)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.53% (

-0.13)

35.46% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.77% (

-0.14)

72.23% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Nacional 39.03%

Liverpool 32.02%

Draw 28.92%

Nacional	Draw	Liverpool
1-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.03%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.92%	0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 32.02%