Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Nacional
Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Danubio
  • Franco Fagundez 5' goal
  • Luis Suarez 45' goal

Nacional vs Danubio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Oct 18, 2022 12.30am
Cerrito 1 - 2 Nacional
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Emmanuel Gigliotti

Danubio

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last game
Oct 16, 2022 7.30pm
Danubio 3 - 0 Albion
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Sebastian Fernandez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result

Nacional 54.09% ▼ (-0.43)
Draw 26.93% ▲ (+0.01)
Danubio 18.97% ▲ (+0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.63% ▲ (+0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.03% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 2.5 62.96% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 3.5 17.56% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 3.5 82.44% ▼ (-0.29)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 76.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 23.63% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 42.27% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 57.72% ▲ (+0.02)

Danubio Goals

Over 0.5 51.89% ▲ (+0.73)
Under 0.5 48.11% ▼ (-0.73)
Over 1.5 16.69% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 1.5 83.31% ▼ (-0.54)

Score analysis

Nacional 54.08%
Draw 26.92%
Danubio 18.97%
Nacional
1-0 @ 16.4% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 11.82% ▼ (-0.19)
2-1 @ 8.66% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 54.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 12% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 11.36% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 26.92%
Danubio
0-1 @ 8.32% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.04% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.97%

Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 3
Danubio
Jun 25, 2022 7.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Nacional
  • Martin Rea 24' yellowcard
  • Diego Vicente 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Marichal 24'
  • yellowcard Alex Castro 57'
  • yellowcard Mathias Laborda 73'
  • goal Jose Luis Rodriguez 80'
  • yellowcard Felipe Carballo 90'+4'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 15
Danubio
Jun 5, 2022 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo
Nacional
  • Rafael German Haller Piloni 6' goal
  • Rafael German Haller Piloni 12' redcard
  • Jorge Fossati 13' yellowcard
  • Martin Rea 38' yellowcard
  • Diego Vicente 49' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Rodriguez 72' goal
  • Lucas Ferreira 76' yellowcard
  • Ribair Rodriguez 84' yellowcard
  • Ribair Rodriguez 84' redcard
  • Leandro Navarro 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Camilo Candido 51'
  • goal Franco Fagundez 61'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Danubio
Mar 13, 2021 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Nacional
  • Javier Mendez 21' yellowcard
  • Lucas Monzon 29' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Siri 41' goal
  • Javier Mendez 90'+1' goal
  • Salvador Ichazo 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago Vecino 23'
  • yellowcard Thiago Vecino 37'
  • yellowcard Guzman Corujo 44'
  • yellowcard Renzo Orihuela 50'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 5
Nacional
Nov 21, 2020 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Gran Parque Central
Danubio
  • Joaquin Trasante 34' yellowcard
  • Mathias Laborda 62' redcard
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 63' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martinez 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leandro Sosa 39'
  • goal Facundo Labandeira 44'
  • goal Santiago Paiva 47'
  • yellowcard Javier Mendez 70'
Uruguayan Primera Division Gameweek 12
Nacional
Sep 14, 2020 12.15am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Danubio
  • Julio Dominguez 1' goal
  • Armando Mendez 26' yellowcard
  • Armando Mendez 28' redcard
  • Santiago Rodriguez 46' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo Bergessio 55' goal
  • Claudio Yacob 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Salvador Ichazo 25'
  • yellowcard Santiago Mederos 30'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Prieto 40'
  • redcard Santiago Mederos 41'
  • yellowcard Santiago Martin Paiva Mattos 75'
  • yellowcard Santiago Paiva 75'
Uruguayan Primera Division
Nacional
Oct 10, 2019 12.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Danubio
  • Rafael Garcia 15' goal
  • Mathias Laborda 32' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Pereira 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Mederos 59'

Form Data

Cerrito 1 - 2 Nacional
Albion 0 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 1 - 1 Defensor
Fenix 1 - 1 Nacional
Nacional 1 - 1 Cerro Largo
River Plate 1 - 1 Nacional
Danubio 3 - 0 Albion
Defensor 1 - 1 Danubio
Danubio 1 - 1 Fenix
Cerro Largo 1 - 0 Danubio
Danubio 3 - 0 River Plate
Boston River 0 - 1 Danubio