Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.37%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Danubio win was 1-0 (12.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.